Saturday, November 6, 2010

1996 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 8,000
Minted by Shenyang Mint

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$272.94 (US$184.50) (1)
Double sealed coin - S$246.86 (US$182.50) (1)
Double sealed coin with COA - S$408.87 (US$278.37) (11)
Double sealed coin with COA & Box - S$398.64 (US$287.00) (1)

1995 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 10,000
Minted by Shenyang Mint

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$442.99 (US$293.89) (2)
Double sealed coin - S$445.27 (US$306.92) (2)
Double sealed coin with Box - S$483.41 (US$338.33) (1)
Double sealed coin with COA & Box - S$557.73 (US$400.01) (1)

1994 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 15,000
Minted by Shanghai Mint

Total NGC graded: 234
PF70 (21); PF69 (161); PF68 (30); PF67 (11); PF66 (6); PF65 (3); PF64 (1); PF63 (1)

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$363.17 (US$214.25) (2)
Double sealed coin - S$507.17 (US$345.12) (1)
Double sealed coin with COA - S$307.75 (US$217.98) (1)

1993 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 20,000
Minted by Shanghai Mint

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$212.21 (US$112.75) (2)
Coin in capsule with COA & Box - S$174.57 (US$100) (1)
Double sealed coin - S$207.39 (US$137.25) (1)

1992 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 20,000
Minted by Shanghai & Shenyang Mints

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$198.56 (US$119.45) (2)
Coin in capsule with COA - S$169.21 (US$114.38) (1)
Coin in capsule with COA & Box - S$229.34 (US$167.50) (1)

1991 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 20,000

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$179.18 (US$97.37) (3)
Coin in capsule with Box - S$186.26 (US$125.50) (1)
Coin in capsule with COA & Box - S$236.11 (US$164.16) (3)
Double sealed coin - S$193.89 (US$133.05) (2)
Double sealed coin with Box - S$188.75 (US$137.50) (1)
Double sealed coin with COA & Box - S$243.30 (US$150.00) (1)

NGC PF69 UCAM - S$318.14 (US$210.87) (10)
PCGS PF68 DCAM - S$164.75 (US$102.50) (1)

While the prices of the ungraded coin play catch up, the graded coin prices seems to have reached their potential. Prices of the graded coins dipped in June by about 17% before recovering recently.


1990 Silver Proof Panda


Planned & Actual Mintage: 20,000

Highest Certified: NGC PF70/PCGS PR69 DCAM

Average transacted prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$119.55 (US$68.36) (6)
Double-sealed coin - S$174.36 (US$118.30) (2)
Coin in capsule with COA & Box - S$149.10 (US$106.80) (2)

The average transacted prices do not reflect well on current prices as prices doubled for transactions made in October. The double-sealed and Box Set has gone for above US$150.

NGC PF69 UCAM - S$209.11 (US$135)
NGC PF70 UCAM - S$1258.69 (US$900)

PCGS PR66 DCAM - S$92.79 (US$51)
PCGS PR67 DCAM - S$89.96 (US$57)
PCGS PR68 DCAM - S$138.68 (US$89)
PCGS PR69 DCAM - S$170.12 (US$114)

1989 Silver Proof Panda

1989 is the first year of issue of the BU Silver Panda coin. Hence, the design of the Proof and BU versions are only differentiated by the 'P' mint mark besides the proof finishes. The Panda on the Proof version tends to be frosty compared to the BU although there were also frosty versions found on the BU types.


Planned and Actual Mintage: 25,000

Average Transacted Prices (Jan - Nov 2010):

Coin in capsule - S$103.27 (US$48.83) (2)
Coin in capsule with Box - S$96.91 (US$65.00) (2)
Coin in capsule with COA & Box - S$124.67 (US$86.47) (3)
Double sealed coin - S$96.02 (US$62.50) (6)
Double sealed coin with COA - S$120.36 (US$84.00) (2)
Double sealed coin with COA & Box - S$102.33 (US$65.26) (4)

The potential of the 1989 version could have been reached with prices more than doubled in November from US$46 to US$122 for a doubled sealed coin with COA. Price of around US$100 would be a good buy for a set with COA and Box.

NGC PF69 UCAM - S$159.74 (US$100)
PCGS PR68 DCAM - S$83.87 (US$46)
PCGS PR69 DCAM - S$128.31 (US$82.72) (4)

Do not that prices for the graded coins were from first half of 2010. No transactions could be tracked for second half of the year.


1987 Silver Proof Panda

The 1987 Silver Proof Panda coin the the first 1 troy ounce Silver Panda coin being produced.


Diameter - 40 mm
Planned Mintage - 31,000
Actual Mintage - 30,720
Mint - Shen Yang Mint

Transacted Prices:
Coin in capsule - S$274.29 (US$188.13) (6)
Double-sealed coin - S$231.77 (US$159)

NGC PF66 UCAM - S$188.87 (US$110.58)
NGC PF67 UCAM - S$249.65 (US$168.66)
NGC PF69 UCAM - S$491.77 (US$317.50) (2)
PCGS PR68 DCAM - S$304.76 (US$202.50)

It is not surprising that the double-seal costs less than the coin in capsule as there was only 1 transaction. From March to September, there were 6 coins in capsule transacted with prices ranging from S$248 to S$345 (nearly 40% increase). The graded coin prices may not be a good judgement for current prices as those were transacted from January to June. No transactions were made after June. However, it can be a good indication for good buy if you manage to find one selling at these prices.

The 1987 Silver Proof Panda was also issued as a set of 1 and 5 oz box set with COA.

Average Transacted Prices:
Set without COA - S$489.10 (US$354.21) (3 sets)
Set with COA - S$565.91 (US$397.89) (23 sets)
Price range (Jan- Nov 2010): S$440 - 857

Based on current prices, S$550 and below indicates a good buy.

1985 Silver Proof Panda

The 1985 Silver Proof Panda has the same specifications and mintage as the 1983 and 1984 version.

Transacted prices:

Coin in capsule - S$1,083.31 (US$772.33) (3)
Double-sealed coin - S$1,312.47 (US$995.11)
Coin in capsule with COA - S$1,307.13 (US$900.00)
Coin in capsule with COA & box - S$1,461.70 (US$1,113.88)

PCGS PR68 DCAM - S$1,129.09 (US$791.21)
PCGS PR69 DCAM - S$1,420.18 (US$977.00)
NGC PF69 UCAM - S$1,635.19 (US$1,186.25)

1984 Silver Proof Panda

The 1984 Silver Proof Panda has the same mintage and specifications as the 1983 version.


Transacted prices:

Coin in capsule - S$759.13 (US$525.00)
Double-sealed coin - S$801.84 (US$551.11)
Coin in capsule with COA - S$723.84 (US$520.11)
Coin in capsule with COA & box - S$1,734.95 (US$1,325.00)

PCGS PR68 DCAM - S$842.60 (US$583.21)
NGC PF68 UCAM - S$1,040.09 (US$750.00)
NGC PF69 UCAM - S$1,481.98 (US$1,064.96)

This undervalued coin has awakened. Though there were no similar transactions for comparison in 2009, in 2010, 4 transactions for NGC PF69 UCAM averaged at about S$1,148 (US$790) from March to May. In September and October, prices jumped to S$1,774.74 (US$1,299) and S$2,526.77 (US$1,930) respectively - more than 100% increase. In comparison with 1985 version, the 1984 Silver Proof Panda coin should have more upside.


1983 Silver Proof Panda

The inaugural Silver Panda coin was minted in 1983 - a year after the first Gold Panda coin was minted.


Diameter of 38.6mm, weighing just 27 g and fineness of 90%, the proof issue had a mintage of only 10,000. It was minted by Shanghai Mint and was packaged doubled-sealed in a box with Certificate of Authenticity (COA). However, it is not known what the issue price was back then.

Over the years, as the coins changed hands, it became more difficult to find a coin that has the original issued packaging. Hence, collectors are willing to pay more for original coin with COA than a coin that is not top graded.

There were less than 10 of this coin transacted in ebay for worldwide shipping.

Transacted prices as follows:
Coin in capsule - S$1,848.07 (US$1,336.00)
Double-sealed coin - S$1,682.88 (US$1,204.56)
Coin in capsule with COA & box - S$1,850.00 (US$1,413.89)
Double-sealed with COA & box - S$1,969.39 (US$1,400.00)

PCGS PR68 DCAM - S$1,593.14 (US$1,126.21)
NGC PF69 UCAM - S$4,662.08 (US$3,400.00)

There were 3 double-sealed coins transacted in January, July and lately, October. The increase in price from January to July and July to October was about 11% and 18% respectively, resulting in an overall increase of about 32%.

A similar percentage of increase is also observed for the original double-sealed coin with COA and box. Such a coin was transacted on 4 Aug 2009 for S$1,381, hence, accounting for nearly 34% increase. With less than 10,000 of such coins changing hands, there is a lot of potential for the 27 g coin to make another 35% gain in 2011.

Friday, November 5, 2010

October Transacted Prices for Silver Panda

The following prices are averaged transacted prices for double-sealed Chinese Silver Panda coins. Prices are in Singapore Dollars (SGD) and includes shipping costs to Singapore.

Legend: L - Large Date; S - Small Date; F - Frosty; M - Mirrored; SR - Serif Font; LTLD: Large Twig Large Date; STLD: Small Twig Large Date; STSD - Small Twig Small Date; D - Domestic

Red indicates a decrease in price over previous month;
Green indicates an increase in price over previous month.

1989 - 63.53
1990L - 73.01; 1990S - 66.99
1991L - 123.20; 1991S - Nil
1992L - 145.89; 1992S - Nil
1993L - Nil; 1993S - 123.27
1994L - 125.78; 1994S - Nil
1995LTLD - 64.73; 1995STLD - Nil; 1995STSD - 58.80
1996L - 56.72; 1996S - 61.36
1997L - 67.63; 1997S - 62.37
1998L - 111.75; 1998S - 83.95
1999L - 164.57; 1999S - Nil; 1999SR - Nil
2000F - 214.08; 2000M - Nil
2001 - 69.68; 2001D - 98.22
2002 - 59.28
2003 - 88.13
2004 - 64.14
2005 - 58.07
2006 - 61.02
2007 - 58.44
2008 - 60.94
2009 - 58.09
2010 - 47.81

Commentary: I guess I don't have to say much. As JPM and HSBC saga unwinds, silver spot price would clear US$30 mark. Prices here could easily go up by another 10-20%. But it is usually in these situations that the scarce coins find strong and firm hands.